Will Taylor Swift headline the Las Vegas Sphere before December 31, 2026?
One-OffMusicEntertainment3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 85.6%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleAug 12, 25, 3:54 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
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Manifold MarketsRules
Only counts if it is a headline show (so guest appearing at someone else's show or a couple songs at an award show or general music event would not count).
- Must play the show before this date (so an announcement of shows after this date don't count).
Open markets
MusicPOLYMARKETKanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- No-22.5pt57%
- Yes+22.5pt43%
- Total Vol
- $379K
- 24h Vol
- $40.9K
KALSHITop Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 8, 2026
- Dai Dai87.6%
- SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video)0.9%
- Yeshanagula | The Paradise | Nani | Keerthy Suresh | Anirudh Ravichander | Srikanth Odela0.9%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $46K
KALSHITaylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Above 13.4M+1.0pt99%
- Above 13.6M+1.0pt99%
- Above 13.5M+1.0pt99%
+28 more outcomes
KALSHIBad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Above 25.5M99%
- Above 22M+2.0pt99%
- Above 22.5M+1.0pt99%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $14.9K
KALSHITop Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 9, 2026
- Dai Dai31%
- Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip1%
- Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu)1%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $11.3K
- 24h Vol
KALSHIRunner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 8, 2026
- Choosin' Texas78.1%
- Dai Dai7.6%
- Sunflower+1.0pt1.9%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $33.4K
- KATSEYE: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 9, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 8, 2026
- Fuerza Regida: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- #2 US Spotify Song 2026
- Morgan Wallen: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 9, 2026
- Ariana Grande: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Grammys 2027: Song of the Year Winner
- Will Drake release a new album by which date?
- Justin Bieber: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Taylor Swift headline the Las Vegas Sphere before December 31, 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 86% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Taylor Swift headline the Las Vegas Sphere before December 31, 2026? resolve?
- Will Taylor Swift headline the Las Vegas Sphere before December 31, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Taylor Swift headline the Las Vegas Sphere before December 31, 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Only counts if it is a headline show (so guest appearing at someone else's show or a couple songs at an award show or general music event would not count).