Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 55%
Forecasters
52
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 36 minutes ago
Dec 28, 23, 10:52 PM UTCJan 1, 31, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
There are strong trends in the price of data storage devices:
- https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/historical-cost-of-computer-memory-and-storage
- https://www.backblaze.com/blog/hard-drive-cost-per-gigabyte/
- People have speculated that if the current trends persists the price per TB of SSDs will become cheaper than HDDs by 2030: https://www.reddit.com/r/DataHoarder/comments/17sljc1/as_requested_an_improved_chart_of_ssd_vs_hdd/?ref=share&ref_source=link
- This market closes on or before 1st of January 2031.
- The result will be YES if there is a period of at least 1 month where the average price per TB of the top 10 results of the commercially available SSDs is cheaper than the average price per TB of the top 10 results of the HDDs: https://diskprices.com/?locale=us&condition=new&disk_types=external_hdd,external_hdd25,internal_hdd,internal_hdd25,internal_sshd,internal_sas,external_ssd,internal_ssd,m2_ssd,m2_nvme,u2