Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 1:14 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
Yes 92.9%
Yes 92.9%Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleDec 16, 23, 5:09 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 7:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiOscar Winner: Best Picture
KalshiRules
Yes: will win if Rockstar officialy announce that they will release GTA 6 for PC otherwise it's No's win