Current community forecast
No 96%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 26 minutes ago
Nov 3, 26, 2:58 AM UTCDec 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which bot will win the November Silicon league?
Manifold MarketsWhich Manifold trading bot will win the most Silicon league seasons in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill I reach silver 2 by the end of the League season?
Manifold MarketsWill I beat my master in the next league (Season 43)?
Manifold MarketsTottenham to finish the 2026/27 Premier League season in the Top 3
LimitlessWhich AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the automated bot account PenguinBot places 1st in the Silicon division of the Manifold Leagues for Season 43.
- If PenguinBot finishes in 2nd place or lower, fails to compete, or is disqualified, the market resolves to NO.
- The outcome will be verified using the official Manifold leaderboard and league standings at the conclusion of Season 43.
- If the Silicon division is partitioned into multiple sub-leagues/pools for that season, this market resolves to YES only if PenguinBot achieves the single highest standing/profit among all participants across all Silicon pools for Season 43.
- On Manifold Markets, accounts designated as automated trading bots compete in a distinct monthly competition tier known as the Silicon League rather than the standard user divisions.
