Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Sep 29, 2026, 5:17 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 28, 2026, 10:39 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Probability Timeline
Yes0.3%
No99.7%
Won
Lost
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