What are the current odds for Will Nassim Taleb publish a new book in 2026??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 53.9% as of September 30, 2026.

When does Will Nassim Taleb publish a new book in 2026? resolve?

Will Nassim Taleb publish a new book in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Will Nassim Taleb publish a new book in 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: See information and history in the bet for 2025:

Will Nassim Taleb publish a new book in 2026?

One-OffEntertainment3mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 53.9%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 14 hours ago

Stale

Dec 24, 25, 1:01 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

See information and history in the bet for 2025:

Will Nassim Taleb publish a new book in 2025? | Manifold
When things change I'll add the news.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Nassim Taleb publish a new book in 2026??: Manifold Markets prices Yes at 53.9% as of September 30, 2026.
When does Will Nassim Taleb publish a new book in 2026? resolve?: Will Nassim Taleb publish a new book in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
How is Will Nassim Taleb publish a new book in 2026? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: See information and history in the bet for 2025:

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Will Nassim Taleb publish a new book in 2026?

Will Nassim Taleb publish a new book in 2026?

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