Will "IABIED is on the NYT bestseller list" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will "IABIED is on the NYT bestseller list" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review??

Manifold Markets prices No at 95.3% as of October 31, 2026.

When does Will "IABIED is on the NYT bestseller list" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? resolve?

Will "IABIED is on the NYT bestseller list" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? is scheduled to resolve on February 1, 2027.

How is Will "IABIED is on the NYT bestseller list" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.

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KALSHI

Golden Globe Winner: Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy

• Wild Horse Nine+3.0pt37%
• The Debut-2.0pt17.5%
• The Invite-1.0pt12.5%

+12 more outcomes

Total Vol

$69.9K

24h Vol

$21.8K

KALSHI

Golden Globe Winner: Best Supporting Actress on TV

• Kate O’Flynn-1.0pt32.5%
• Linda Cardellini20%
• Allison Janney-1.0pt

KALSHI

Golden Globe Winner: Best Motion Picture - Drama

• The Odyssey46.5%
• La Bola Negra+8.0pt25.5%
• Dune: Part Three6.5%

KALSHI

Golden Globe Winner: Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy

• John Malkovich+2.0pt73%
• Tom Cruise+7.0pt11.5%
• Brad Pitt

KALSHI

The Game Awards: Game of the Year

• Grand Theft Auto VI-1.0pt82.5%
• Resident Evil Requiem4.5%
• Phantom Blade Zero4.5%

KALSHI

Golden Globe Winner: Best Actress in a Limited Series

• Florence Pugh+5.0pt43%
• Sally Field20.5%
• Carey Mulligan14.5%

• College Football 2026: Heisman Trophy Winner
• Golden Globe Winner: Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
• Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027
• MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner
• Golden Globe Winner: Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture
• Golden Globe Winner: Best Television Series - Comedy or Musical
• Turner Prize 2026 Winner
• Golden Globe Winner: Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama
• World's best restaurant in 2026?
• 2027 Nobel Peace Prize winner
• Golden Globe Winner: Best Motion Picture - Animated