Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 67%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleApr 16, 26, 4:56 AM UTCApr 16, 29, 4:43 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will I get a girlfriend before I finish Hatcher?
Manifold MarketsWill I get a girlfriend before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill I have a girlfriend before I turn 35, and if so how will we meet?
Manifold MarketsWill I qualify for the IMO before getting a girlfriend?
Manifold MarketsWill I find a wife by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWho will be accepted to join the Fire Department for the September round?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES iff I enter into a committed romantic relationship that I define as having a girlfriend before I complete The Rising Sea by Ravi Vakil.
- It resolves NO if I complete the entire text and solve all exercises before entering such a relationship. "Finish" is defined as reading the entire text and solving every exercise to my own satisfaction.
- I will not manipulate the outcome by intentionally slowing my mathematical progress or self-sabotaging.
- The Rising Sea: Foundations of Algebraic Geometry is an comprehensive and notoriously demanding textbook on algebraic geometry written by Ravi Vakil.
