Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 6:05 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
Yes 61.5%
Yes 61.5%Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleDec 8, 24, 1:49 PM UTCDec 31, 44, 3:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
