Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 62.7%
Forecasters
24
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jul 2, 23, 7:20 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 3:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Doesn't include game streaming services like GeForce NOW.
- I.e. the game must be rendered on the device itself.
- It doesn't need to run in all browsers - e.g. if it runs in desktop browsers, but not on mobile browsers, this market would still resolve to YES.
- If it runs in Chrome, but not in Safari, this market would still resolve to YES.
- Must be an official version of the game - i.e. not a community-ported client, or anything like that.
- It's okay if it's experimental so long as the full game (more or less) has been officially demonstrated or claimed by either company to be working within a web browser.