Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (60.1%)
Resolved: Oct 18, 2026, 10:52 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Yes
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
77%
ConsensusData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 19, 2026, 3:57 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes60.1%
No39.9%
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will 0.1% of the US population own a flying car by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill Boeing have a Flying Car in use on at least one commercial route by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Boeing have a Flying Car in use on at least one commercial route by the end of 2033?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketBitcoin price at the end of 2026
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.