Current community forecast
No 80%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Jul 16, 25, 2:14 PM UTCFeb 1, 27, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Do confident short timelines make sense? is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
