Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 81.9%
Forecasters
24
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleSep 29, 23, 12:19 PM UTCOct 6, 50, 9:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Christopher Nolan have a new film release in 2027 or 2028?
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KalshiClayface · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiRules
Co-director counts, producer doesn't.
- It's fine if it isn't an official one, but the movie needs to be mentioned on the Wikipedia page of Bond movies.
- Resolves to NO if Christopher Nolan is dead, digital copies directing movies do not count in this market.