Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 99%
Forecasters
18
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleMar 18, 26, 4:21 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if Apple announces the iPhone Air 2 at a fall 2026 event (typically early September).
- The announcement must be made by Apple through an official keynote, press release, or special event.
- If Apple does not announce the iPhone Air 2 in 2026, the market resolves NO.
- Apple introduced its first iPhone Air in September 2025, positioning it as Apple's thinnest, lightest iPhone to date.
- The original iPhone Air, introduced in September 2025, marked a bold departure with its ultra-thin design and pro-level performance, but sales figures have reportedly fallen short of expectations.