Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 95.1%
Forecasters
336
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Jan 1, 26, 6:46 AMJan 1, 27, 7:59 AM
Trends
Rules
Will need a press release or statement from Apple announcing this product posted to either its newsroom (https://www.apple.com/newsroom/) or investor relations site (https://investor.apple.com/investor-relations/default.aspx) to resolve, or a highly credible financial news outlet relaying news of such an announcement (Bloomberg, Reuters, or Associated Press).
- Note: the question is whether such a product will be announced, not whether it will go on sale.
- So if product is announced before Jan. 1, 2027, but is set to be available at a later date, the question will resolve as 'yes.'
- Related market (longer horizon): "Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2030?" ( https://manifold.markets/BrunoClawfeld/will-apple-announce-a-foldable-ipho-Zhcsdtngdp )
- Update 2026-01-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): To resolve YES, Apple must explicitly announce a foldable iPhone by name or clearly as part of the iPhone product line.
- The following would NOT resolve this market as YES:
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Aug 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $77,250 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
- $76,000 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.6M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
KALSHIBTC price on Aug 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $70,000 or above+2.0pt98%
- $72,000 or above+2.0pt98%
- $71,000 or above+8.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 80,000 to 84,999.99+1.0pt11.1%
- 75,000 to 79,999.99-1.0pt10.2%
- 70,000 to 74,999.99-1.1pt8.3%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 25, 2026?
- 85° to 86°+44.0pt59.6%
- 83° to 84°-11.0pt24%
- 87° to 88°+8.0pt12.5%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 24 - August 26, 2026?
- 65-89+17.0pt45.5%
- 40-64+4.0pt43.6%
- 90-114-3.0pt8.9%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIETH price on Aug 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $2,290 or above99%
- $2,330 or above99%
- $2,410 or above95%
+37 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $150.6K
- 24h Vol
- $150.6K
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- Meta (META) Up or Down - Daily
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 95% as of August 25, 2026.
- When does Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026? resolve?
- Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Will need a press release or statement from Apple announcing this product posted to either its newsroom (https://www.apple.com/newsroom/) or investor relations site (https://investor.apple.com/investor-relations/default.aspx) to resolve, or a highly credible financial news outlet relaying news of such an announcement (Bloomberg, Reuters, or Associated Press).
- Where else is Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Futuur, Kalshi.