Will "AlgZoo: uninterpreted models with fewer than ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
One-Off1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 86.2%
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1
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binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
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Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleJan 27, 26, 5:09 AM UTCFeb 1, 28, 12:00 AM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post AlgZoo: uninterpreted models with fewer than 1,500 parameters is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will "AlgZoo: uninterpreted models with fewer than ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 86% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will "AlgZoo: uninterpreted models with fewer than ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? resolve?
- Will "AlgZoo: uninterpreted models with fewer than ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? is scheduled to resolve on February 1, 2028.
- How is Will "AlgZoo: uninterpreted models with fewer than ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.