Will "Models finding software vulnerabilities is no..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
One-Off1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 85.7%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleMay 14, 26, 11:45 PM UTCFeb 1, 28, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will "Why Software Automation Is Hard" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill "A global workspace in language models" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill "OpenAI Models Behind HuggingFace Cybersecurit..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill "Help me launch Obsolete: a book aimed at buil..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsRules
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Models finding software vulnerabilities is not the primary source of cybersecurity risk is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will "Models finding software vulnerabilities is no..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 86% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will "Models finding software vulnerabilities is no..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? resolve?
- Will "Models finding software vulnerabilities is no..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? is scheduled to resolve on February 1, 2028.
- How is Will "Models finding software vulnerabilities is no..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.