This market resolved: No (58.8%)
Resolved: Oct 15, 2026, 10:31 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningSource data degradedStale data
Data as of Oct 16, 2026, 2:16 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market covers the fixed 9:00 AM–1:00 PM Central Time observation window over Madison, Wisconsin.
- Resolution will be based exclusively on archived footage from UW–Madison’s five AOSS rooftop cameras, which face west, northwest, north, east and south:
- https://www.aos.wisc.edu/weather/wx_obs/WebCam.html
- YES — At least one UW–Madison rooftop camera records a visually identifiable aircraft-generated linear cloud in more than one timestamped frame.
- It may remain narrow or visibly widen, feather or spread.
- Lens reflections, camera artifacts and naturally formed clouds do not count.