Current community forecast
No 84.1%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 39 minutes ago
Nov 19, 23, 1:16 AM UTCJan 1, 51, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Background: Drawing inspiration from Neal Stephenson's novel "Snow Crash," this question delves into the potential realization of a Metaverse - a fully immersive, virtual shared space that merges enhanced physical reality with persistent virtual environments.
- The Metaverse in "Snow Crash" is an integral part of societal functioning, impacting social interactions, business, entertainment, and more.
- Resolution Criteria:
- Adoption Rate: The market will resolve as 'Yes' if, by December 31, 2050, at least 30% of the global population actively uses this Metaverse regularly (at least once a week).
- Functionality: The Metaverse must offer a fully immersive, interactive experience with high-fidelity virtual environments.
- It should support a range of activities including social interaction, commerce, education, and entertainment.
