Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: No (96.3%)
Resolved: Oct 1, 2026, 6:15 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
No
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 1, 2026, 6:05 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes3.7%
No96.3%
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.