Will a hardware 3 tesla vehicle get an official hardware FSD upgrade by the end of 2026?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will a hardware 3 tesla vehicle get an official hardware FSD upgrade by the end of 2026??

Manifold Markets prices No at 87.8% as of October 25, 2026.

When does Will a hardware 3 tesla vehicle get an official hardware FSD upgrade by the end of 2026? resolve?

Will a hardware 3 tesla vehicle get an official hardware FSD upgrade by the end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.

How is Will a hardware 3 tesla vehicle get an official hardware FSD upgrade by the end of 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Specifically, will Tesla upgrade any customer's car (not tesla employee/testing car) initially produced with a hardware 3 FSD computer to be able to run either unsupervised FSD, or the same-or-better model as what hardware 4 cars are running at that time?

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KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $79,000 or above98.5%
• $78,750 or above98.5%
• $78,000 or above99.5%

+77 more outcomes

Total Vol

$1M

24h Vol

$984.5K

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 25, 2026 at 1pm EDT?

• $80,100 or above99%
• $80,000 or above99.5%
• $79,900 or above99.5%

POLYMARKET

Elon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?

• 65-89+6.5pt45.5%
• 90-114+22.0pt39.6%
• 115-139+7.5pt12.9%

+7 more outcomes

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $69,000 or above98.5%
• $71,000 or above98%
• $72,000 or above96.5%

KALSHI

Where will it rain on Oct 25, 2026?

• Minneapolis+37.0pt99.5%
• Miami+11.0pt99.5%
• West Palm Beach+14.0pt

KALSHI

Bitcoin price at the end of 2026

• 80,000 to 84,999.99+0.5pt15.6%
• 75,000 to 79,999.99-0.3pt15.2%
• 85,000 to 89,999.99+1.6pt

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