Current community forecast
No 67.2%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleDec 9, 23, 4:32 AM UTCJan 1, 00, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
A qualifying 'trip' in this market is any transit from point(A) to point(B) where the shortest distance between these points is greater than 200km and the transit time is less than 1234.8km/h from takeoff to landing after 1/1/2023.
- EG, a trip where takeoff at JFK was at 00:00 GMT and a landing at LHA no later than 02:55.
- Will resolve YES if -
- (a) SpaceX becomes defunct / goes bankrupt prior to Boom Supersonic going bankrupt or otherwise becoming defunct as an enterprise.
- (b) Boom Supersonic platform vehicles are used in 200 commercially available trips before SpaceX platform vehicles are used in 200 commercially available trips.
- (b)(2) A single trip is defined as a commercial (at least 1 paying customer) transits from a point of origin to a destination point not less than 200km apart.
