Will >5% of an FTX grant be clawed back, from >2 individual workers, by end of 2026?
One-OffCryptoCrime & Justice5moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 22, 2026, 2:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecastYes 53.5%
Forecasters
158
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 days ago
StaleNov 14, 22, 3:10 AMJan 1, 27, 7:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes54%
Volume trend
$71Jul 212d of dataJul 22
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