Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastKyle Larson 33.7%+1.1ptLeader of 16 outcomes
Forecasters
10
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-8.5 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Aug 30, 26, 3:39 AM UTCNov 15, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.