Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast@Sketchy 18.5%-31.5%
Forecasters
2
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Jul 12, 26, 10:42 PMJul 26, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
@Sketchy19%
Volume trend
$1.1kJul 122d of dataJul 13
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Resolves to the #1 name on the tournament leaderboard when the tournament closes July 25, as displayed on the tournament page.
- Ties are broken by the tournament page's displayed order.
- Add yourself as an answer once you've signed up! Note this market is self-referential: profit made here counts toward the leaderboard that decides it.
- 🏆 This market is part of The Introductory Tournaments Tournament, the first-ever tournament on Manifold Tournaments — an unofficial site for running tournaments on top of Manifold markets.
- Rankings are by total profit across the tournament's markets, computed live on the tournament page.
- How to join: signups are open through July 18 — go to the tournament page, hit Join, and enter your Manifold username.