Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 12, 2026, 4:17 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecast
Vincent Keymer 11.8%-0.1%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
2
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 days ago
StaleJul 10, 26, 5:45 PMAug 20, 26, 6:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Vincent Keymer12%
Volume trend
$91Jul 103d of dataJul 12
Related Markets
FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner
$11KHikaru Nakamura: 3%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Chennai Grand Masters Winner
$7.3KAlireza Firouzja: 77%KALSHI
KALSHI
Sinquefield Cup Winner
$6.9KA: 50%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
FIDE World Top Chess Players: Top 5 Rated in August 2026
$3.7KVincent Keymer: 19%KALSHI
KALSHI
Next Prime Minister of Romania?
$1.7KAlexandru Nazare: 35%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill OpenAI achieve "very high level of confidence" in their "Superalignment" solutions by 2027-07-06?
$1KYes: 3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
Related News
Galaxy Digital’s $75 Million Texas Tech Stadium Deal Is Crypto’s Boldest Branding Bet YetBlockchain Reporter
Galaxy Digital plants its name on Texas Tech football stadiumCrypto News
Galaxy Digital puts its name on Texas Tech football stadium in 15-year partnershipThe Block
Polymarket prices Golden Ball at 50% despite Spain reaching World Cup finalBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds put Mbappé at 32.5% to win 2026 Ballon d'Or after +5.45ppBlockchain.News
SodaBot Integrates with SportixAI to Advance AI-Powered SportsFI InfrastructureBlockchain ReporterRules
The 2026 Sinquefield Cup is a classical chess tournament which will take place August 10-19 in Saint Louis.
- Will resolve to the official winner.
- Tours - Grand Chess Tour
- If a player is replaced, I will edit their option to their replacement.