Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastMercedes 84.7%Leader of 12 outcomes
Forecasters
31
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleNov 12, 25, 3:54 PM UTCDec 25, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
0.4%
0.4%
0.4%
0.4%
0.4%
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Resolution criteria
- The market resolves to whichever team finishes with the most points in the 2026 Formula 1 Constructors' World Championship, as determined by the official FIA standings at the conclusion of the season.
- Resolution will be verified via the official Formula 1 website (https://www.formula1.com/en/results.html) or FIA records.
- The 2026 season will feature a major set of regulation changes with a revised power unit configuration and new active aerodynamics. 50 per cent of the power will be generated from the internal combustion engine and 50 per cent from the battery.
- Audi, who acquired Sauber in 2024, will enter as a works team with its own power unit, while Cadillac is set to make its series debut using Ferrari power units, marking the first time an eleventh team has competed since 2016.
- Honda will enter into an exclusive works team agreement with the named outcome, and Ford will return to the sport for the first time since 2004, supporting Red Bull Powertrains in supplying power units to the named outcome and the named outcome.
Open markets
SportsKALSHISabalenka vs Noskova
- Aryna Sabalenka+6.0pt74.5%
- Linda Noskova-5.0pt25.5%
- Total Vol
- $14.2M
- 24h Vol
- $13.1M
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- 2 Winner+33.0pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+57.0pt100%
- 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)100%
+29 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $27.9M
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Quarter Finals match
- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
- Total Vol
- $18.1K
- 24h Vol
- $2.2M
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz57%
- Alexander Zverev+5.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28M
- 24h Vol
- $2.2M
KALSHIClub Brugge vs Aston Villa
- Aston Villa+49.0pt87.1%
- Tie-17.0pt9.9%
- Club Brugge-31.0pt3%
- Total Vol
- $2.5M
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF
- US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova
- Tiafoe vs Michelsen
- Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari
- United Arab Emirates vs Bangladesh
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
- MLB: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers (Sep 7, 2026)
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- Amgen Irish Open Winner
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- Real Madrid vs Inter
- US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will win the 2026 formula 1 constructors world championship??
- Manifold Markets prices Mercedes at 85% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who will win the 2026 formula 1 constructors world championship? resolve?
- Who will win the 2026 formula 1 constructors world championship? is scheduled to resolve on December 25, 2026.
- How is Who will win the 2026 formula 1 constructors world championship? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria