Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastOther 86.5%-7.9ptLeader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
32
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+34.2 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingFeb 11, 26, 4:39 AM UTCFeb 14, 27, 6:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Kanye perform in the 2027 Super Bowl halftime show?
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Manifold MarketsPro Football Championship Halftime Show: Headliner(s)
KalshiPro Football Championship Halftime Show: Performers
KalshiRules
Resolves to the artist or artists (proportionally resolved) that are headlining the Super Bowl halftime show in 2027.
- If, for example, three artists share the headline role at market close, of which 2 are listed among the options, and one is unlisted, it would resolve 33% to each of the 2 listed artists and 33% to Other.
- Ask me if you'd like me to add another artists as an option.
- Please only do this if you think there's, like, at least 2% that this artist would plausibly be selected.
- I will probably defer to the wikipedia page's selection, in case there is gray area (multiple performers, some of which are headliners and some ambiguous, for example)
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Super_Bowl_halftime_shows
