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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Who will be the first trillionaire?
Manifold Markets

Who will be the first trillionaire?

YearlyBusiness & CorporateMacro & Economy6mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
Elon Musk 97.3%
Leader of 16 outcomes
Forecasters

113

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Nov 9, 23, 3:14 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Manifold Markets
Jeff Bezos
0.4%
Manifold Markets
Bernard Arnault
0%
Manifold Markets
Jensen Huang
0%
Manifold Markets
Larry Page
0%

Selected outcome

Elon Musk97%

Rules

Heads of state/inherited wealth are not included.

Manifold Markets

Related Markets

Manifold Markets

Will Elon Musk be worth $1T by the end of 2026?

$70.3K
Yes: 98%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Elon Musk be worth $2.0t or more before 2028?

$543.2
Yes: 30.1%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Which companies will be in the Top 10 worldwide by market cap at the end of 2026?

$462.8
Apple: 97%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?

How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?

$399.1
More than $1 trillion: 97%KalshiKALSHI
Who will be the world's first trillionaire?

Who will be the world's first trillionaire?

$50.1
Elon Musk: 97%KalshiKALSHI
Which companies will be acquired this year?

Which companies will be acquired this year?

$2.3
Universal Music Group: 15%KalshiKALSHI

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,373.07+1.34%EthereumETH$1,645.86+0.79%SolanaSOL$64.86+0.30%HyperliquidHYPE$54.51-4.34%XRPXRP$1.11-0.76%DogecoinDOGE$0.0844+0.38%

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Rules

Heads of state/inherited wealth are not included.

Manifold Markets