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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Who will be the world's first trillionaire?
Who will be the world's first trillionaire?

Who will be the world's first trillionaire?

1.0% (24h)YearlyBusiness & CorporateMacro & Economy3y
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Elon Musk
Elon Musk 95%-1.0%
Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality

49 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$51.2

Liquidity

$1.8K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

95.0% / 97.0%

Spread

2.1%

Tight spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Nov 19, 24, 3:00 PMJan 1, 30, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Elon Musk95%

Rules

If Elon Musk is the world's first trillionaire before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Larry Ellison is the world's first trillionaire before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Mark Zuckerberg is the world's first trillionaire before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Jeff Bezos is the world's first trillionaire before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Bernard Arnault & family is the world's first trillionaire before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Warren Buffett is the world's first trillionaire before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Manifold Markets

Who will be the first trillionaire?

$5.2K
Elon Musk: 97.4%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?

How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?

$622.2
More than $1 trillion: 92%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Will Elon Musk be worth $2.0t or more before 2028?

$543.2
Yes: 30.1%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Which companies will be in the Top 10 worldwide by market cap at the end of 2026?

$462.8
Apple: 97%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Who will acquire Pinterest this year?

Who will acquire Pinterest this year?

$4.5
OpenAI: 8%KalshiKALSHI
Which companies will be acquired this year?

Which companies will be acquired this year?

$2.3
Universal Music Group: 15%KalshiKALSHI

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,655.03+2.33%EthereumETH$1,650.38+1.55%SolanaSOL$65.14+1.56%HyperliquidHYPE$54.86-0.88%XRPXRP$1.12+0.21%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.70%

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Rules

If Elon Musk is the world's first trillionaire before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If Larry Ellison is the world's first trillionaire before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Mark Zuckerberg is the world's first trillionaire before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Jeff Bezos is the world's first trillionaire before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Bernard Arnault & family is the world's first trillionaire before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Warren Buffett is the world's first trillionaire before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.