Manifold Scouts: NFL Super Bowl Winning Quarterbacks
SportsManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastJalen Hurts 100%Leader of 53 outcomes
Forecasters
38
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleMar 8, 24, 12:37 PM UTCJan 2, 00, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketUS Open Men's Singles Winner
KalshiRules
A player that already has a Super Bowl victory is not eligible.
- A back-up on a Superbowl winning team is not eligible UNLESS they make a significant contribution to the game. "NO" will resolve when a QB officially announces files for retirement, 2 years not in football, or plays for a league other than the NFL while the NFL is still running (would ignore strike years).
- If that is ambiguous, I reserve the right to make the final judgement, but will definitely hear arguments.
- Significant Contribution
- 30% of offensive snaps OR
- 50 or more combined Pass/Run/Receiving yards
Open markets
SportsPOLYMARKETUS Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 3.5+34.5pt100%
- Michelsen Set 3 Winner+45.5pt100%
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+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.9M
- 24h Vol
- $6.9M
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Arsenal15.1%
- Bayern Munich13.2%
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.5M
KALSHIHouston vs Philadelphia
- Houston+48.0pt91.1%
- Philadelphia-48.0pt8.9%
- Total Vol
- $2.8M
- 24h Vol
- $2.7M
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt58%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton+2.0pt9%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.6M
KALSHIBrace vs Sorribes Tormo
- Cadence Brace52%
- Sara Sorribes Tormo48%
- Total Vol
- $2.2M
- 24h Vol
- $2M
KALSHIShelton vs Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz-1.0pt77.2%
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt22.8%
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.9M
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Manifold Scouts: NFL Super Bowl Winning Quarterbacks?
- Manifold Markets prices Jalen Hurts at 100% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Manifold Scouts: NFL Super Bowl Winning Quarterbacks resolve?
- Manifold Scouts: NFL Super Bowl Winning Quarterbacks is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 3000.
- How is Manifold Scouts: NFL Super Bowl Winning Quarterbacks settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: A player that already has a Super Bowl victory is not eligible.