Manifold Scouts: NFL Super Bowl Winning Quarterbacks
Sports
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastJalen Hurts 100%Leader of 53 outcomes
Forecasters
38
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleMar 8, 24, 12:37 PM UTCJan 2, 00, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
A player that already has a Super Bowl victory is not eligible.
- A back-up on a Superbowl winning team is not eligible UNLESS they make a significant contribution to the game. "NO" will resolve when a QB officially announces files for retirement, 2 years not in football, or plays for a league other than the NFL while the NFL is still running (would ignore strike years).
- If that is ambiguous, I reserve the right to make the final judgement, but will definitely hear arguments.
- Significant Contribution
- 30% of offensive snaps OR
- 50 or more combined Pass/Run/Receiving yards
