Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastThe web will not substantially improve before 2032 85%Leader of 27 outcomes
Forecasters
24
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleNov 20, 23, 12:03 AM UTCApr 4, 32, 11:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
The web is the dominant protocol for social computing.
- It's possible that the future's web will not have continuity with the web browsers of today.
- If the present batch of web browsers are deposed, which project will the deposer emerge from?
- Definition: A "next web" has arrived when a browser with a new rendering engine for a new site format becomes popular (adoption from 30% of people) while lacking tight integration with a fully webkit-compatible HTML renderer.
- It may (and probably should) be able to visit or embed traditional web pages, but these pages lack most of the above features, and most of the pages people actively use are in a new format.
- Background: The current web has fundamental issues.