Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current community forecastNew York 100%+1.0ptLeader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
40
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 19 days ago
StaleSep 8, 24, 4:19 PMJul 8, 26, 12:04 AM
Probability Timeline
Tennessee0%
New York100%
Beverly Hills0%
Florida0%
Kansas City0%
Rhode Island0%
Outside of United States0%
Pennsylvania0%
United States100%
Montana0%
0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· New York
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall87% match · verified | Low | 98% | — | $794.2K | $1.9M | 24 days ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 100% | — | — | — | 19 days ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce: Wedding location
45.0 ptsClosed
Resolved
New York (98%)
+45.0pt96.1%
-32.0pt1%
-10.0pt1%
+2 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$4M
24h Vol$794.2K
KALSHIRules
Do not add anything other than locations, multiple can resolve yes/no.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.9k96.0%KALSHINew York — Yes24d ago
KALSHINew York — Yes24d ago$2.4k97.0%KALSHINew York — Yes24d ago
KALSHINew York — Yes24d agoRelated Markets
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Rules
Do not add anything other than locations, multiple can resolve yes/no.