Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
2030 and after 27.9%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
9
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleMay 24, 24, 8:53 PM UTCMay 1, 30, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Community movie get a 75 or higher on Metacritic?
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KalshiTop US Netflix Show this week?
Kalshi# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
PolymarketRules
#sixseasonsandamovie
- resolved upon release!
Open markets
EntertainmentKALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey-2.0pt51%
- Dune: Part Three13%
- The Black Ball+1.0pt11%
+36 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5.1M
- 24h Vol
- $73.9K
KALSHITop US Netflix Show this week?
- Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1+32.0pt45.3%
- Crew Girl: Season 135%
- NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs Rams8.6%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $71.8K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 27+7.0pt99%
- Above 25+3.0pt99%
- Above 32+32.0pt97%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $165.2K
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 50+1.0pt97%
- Above 45-3.0pt96%
- Above 55-2.0pt90%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $365K
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+11.5pt71%
- 940 - 950m-8.5pt26%
- 960 - 970m+0.6pt2%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- 80-90M+21.0pt78%
- 70-80M-21.4pt21%
- 90M+-0.6pt1%
+4 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will the Community movie be released??
- Manifold Markets prices 2030 and after at 28% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does When will the Community movie be released? resolve?
- When will the Community movie be released? is scheduled to resolve on May 1, 2030.
- How is When will the Community movie be released? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: #sixseasonsandamovie