What are the current odds for When will Apple release a Vision base model??

Manifold Markets prices 2026 at 45.2% as of October 27, 2026.

When does When will Apple release a Vision base model? resolve?

When will Apple release a Vision base model? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2031.

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Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

2026 45.2%

Leader of 8 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

0.0 pts

Market data

Updated 15 hours ago

Stale

Feb 12, 24, 8:20 PM UTCJan 2, 31, 4:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Resolves to the year when Apple releases (makes available for purchase to the public) the Apple Vision headset alongside the Apple Vision Pro.

The criteria for resolution are Apple having two virtual reality headsets which use VisionOS available for purchase simultaneously, which are differentiated from each other in at least both product name and retail price.
Therefore, changes in name do not affect the market.
If the criteria are not met by 2031, the market resolves to never if there is no announcement or sources which suggest any chance it will occur by 2033.