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Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 8:34 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
2029 13.2%Leader of 6 outcomes
2029 13.2%Forecasters
10
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleJan 18, 24, 1:23 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
A year resolves yes, if a program that is called AlphaGeometry by official Google Deepmind communication can get enough points to win at least bronze on the International Mathematics Olympiad of that year.
- The years are resolved completely independent of each other.
- The program does not have to be the exact same code as the that of the paper published on Jan 17, 2024.
- The program has to be called AlphaGeometry by Google Deepmind.
- If a program is called AlphaGeometry 2.0, that is not sufficient.
- If the program is called AlphaGeometry, but also something else (to distinguish it from the original version), that is fine (c.f.
