Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 16, 2026, 2:30 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 39.2%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 days ago
StaleJul 14, 26, 10:13 PMDec 31, 50, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes39%
Volume trend
$28Jul 143d of dataJul 16
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