Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 75.2%
Forecasters
16
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Nov 2, 23, 12:34 AM UTCJan 2, 30, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/7790/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question will resolve positive if before 2030, credible media reports indicate that there have been sustained hurricane-force winds of at least 33 meters per second for one minute at 10m above the surface of some point within the city limits of New York City
- Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
- Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically.