Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastaespa 100%Leader of 14 outcomes
Forecasters
14
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 29 minutes ago
Dec 8, 25, 8:52 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many straight weeks will 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' be #1 (Longest 2026 Streak)
KalshiWill Olivia Rodrigo’s you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love win Album of the Year at the 2027 Grammys?
Manifold MarketsWill the LoFi girl Youtube channel still be live at the end of 2036?
Manifold MarketsWill AI convert"God is a Girl" (Groove Coverage) into "God is a Cockatoo" [w/lyrics] song sung along the same tune?
Manifold Markets#1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Nov 7, 2026?
Kalshi"Thriller" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Nov 7, 2026)
KalshiRules
Resolves YES for a specific group if they release a new official music video or album/single (digital or physical) between Jan 1, 2026, and Dec 31, 2026.
- Only official Korean comebacks count.
- OSTs, Remixes, Commercial/Ad songs, and Sub-unit/Solo debuts do not count.
- It must be a release credited to the full group name.