Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 74.5%
Forecasters
31
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleFeb 6, 24, 3:59 PM UTCJan 1, 00, 3:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
I find it interesting that both are basically computational problems - simulating plasma physics or material science.
- This market resolves true if a room temperature superconductor is officially found (and recognized by the scientific community) before a company manages to achieve net fusion energy production.
- If the opposite happens, the outcome is false.
- N/A if neither happens in this century.