Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast~$1.12 99%+84.7ptLeader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
3
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJul 27, 26, 5:06 PMJul 27, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
~$1.1299%
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to the option that is mathematically closest to the official Euro to US Dollar (EUR/USD) reference exchange rate published by the European Central Bank (ECB) for July 27, 2026.
- Source of Truth: The daily reference rate published on the official ECB website: ECB Euro Reference Exchange Rates.
- Tie-breaker: If the official rate is exactly equidistant between two options, the market will resolve to the option representing the higher rate.