Manifold MarketsNo KYCCurrent community forecast> 95342 acres (recent average) 100%+9.0%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
4
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 days ago
StaleMar 30, 26, 3:09 AMJan 31, 27, 11:59 PM
Trends
100%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
> 222916 (2013 total)86%
Related Markets
Rain in Chicago in Jul 2026?
$11.8KAbove 3 inches: 96%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Rain in Denver in Jul 2026?
$5.5KAbove 2 inches: 18%KALSHI
KALSHI
Rain in Los Angeles in Jul 2026?
$3.7KAbove 1 inch: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$2.9K2: 66%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill Blizzard announce the release of a World of Warcraft 2 by 2026?
$1.8KYes: 3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIf AI kills everyone, how will it do it?
$135.2Engineered pandemic: 13.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActive in these topics
Rules
2026 calendar year.
- Snowpack is historically low:
- [image]It will clearly be a dry summer.
- But will it also be hot? Just how bad will the wildfire season be?
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Colorado_wildfires