How much money will GiveWell raise, excluding from Open Philanthropy, in 2025?
YearlyBusiness & Corporate3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast350-400m 30.1%Leader of 11 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleAug 20, 25, 5:28 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
GiveWell is a nonprofit that conducts in-depth research to determine the most effective charitable giving opportunities.
- In recent years, their fundraising has shown consistent growth, with approximately $253 million raised from donors excluding Open Philanthropy in 2022, $255 million in 2023, and $308 million in 2024.
- In April 2023 they made the following forecast, albeit with wide confidence intervals:
- [image][image]Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve based on the total amount of money raised by GiveWell during the 2025 fiscal year (February 1, 2025 - January 31, 2026), excluding all funds from Open Philanthropy.
- The amount will be determined using GiveWell's official financial reports or public announcements.