Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast40.0% or below? 100%Leader of 12 outcomes
Forecasters
33
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleMar 2, 26, 7:48 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 10:59 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolves according to vote hub: https://votehub.com/polls/ Average of polls.
- See image below for figure to be used.
- We will use the approve number to resolve this market.
- Just has to show once on the graph, does not have to stay below that number until the end of the year.
- If votehub shuts down I’ll find another reliable source
- Year ends at December 31 11.59pm Eastern Time.
