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How Low Will Donald Trumps Approval get in 2026?

Chainlink US PoliticsOne-Off5mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Data quality warningStale data

Data as of Jul 16, 2026, 11:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2

Current community forecast

40.0% or below? 100%

Leader of 12 outcomes

Forecasters

25

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 9 days ago

Stale

Mar 2, 26, 7:48 AMDec 31, 26, 10:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

38.0% or below?71%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

Resolves according to vote hub: https://votehub.com/polls/ Average of polls.

See image below for figure to be used.
We will use the approve number to resolve this market.
Just has to show once on the graph, does not have to stay below that number until the end of the year.
If votehub shuts down I’ll find another reliable source
Year ends at December 31 11.59pm Eastern Time.

Volume trend

$20

Jul 152d of dataJul 16

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Rules

Resolves according to vote hub: https://votehub.com/polls/ Average of polls.

See image below for figure to be used.
We will use the approve number to resolve this market.
Just has to show once on the graph, does not have to stay below that number until the end of the year.
If votehub shuts down I’ll find another reliable source
Year ends at December 31 11.59pm Eastern Time.