Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast6.40 or greater 32.6%Leader of 11 outcomes
Forecasters
7
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleSep 16, 25, 12:26 AM UTCJan 2, 40, 1:26 AM UTC
Trends
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Robinhood (Rothera)Rules
Resolves to the highest record Duplantis sets in his career (i. e. only one answer resolves YES - not every level he clears).
- Resolves in 2040 OR, if he retires earlier than that, a year after the competition he declares to be his last one (to make room for him changing his mind about retiring).
- Indoor as well as outdoor competitions count.
- Must be ratified by whichever organisation is responsible for recognizing official athletics records at the time.
