Current community forecast
No 97.5%
Forecasters
137
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 55 minutes ago
LaggingJul 30, 23, 9:42 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 12:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a commercially available device incorporate a room-temperature, ambient pressure superconductor by 2030?
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRoom temperature ambient pressure transmutation of lead into gold, by 2030
Manifold MarketsWill a room-temperature, atmospheric pressure superconductor be discovered before 2030?
Manifold MarketsNear room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026?
KalshiWill we get AGI before 2029?
Manifold MarketsRules
Note: this market is not referring to the material known as LK-99, claimed to be a room-temperature, ambient pressure superconductor, discovered by a South Korean group.
- This is an entirely separate claim.
- Taj Quantum claim to have invented a room temperature, ambient pressure superconductor.
- On July 25th, 2023, they were granted a patent 17/249,094 | 545074945NP:ABOVE ROOM TEMPERATURE TYPE II SUPERCONDUCTOR
- The inventors are listed as John A. Wood, Bethlehem, PENNSYLVANIA (US) and
- Paul J. Lilly, Howey In The Hills, FLORIDA (US)
