Will a commercially available device incorporate a room-temperature, ambient pressure superconductor by 2030?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will a commercially available device incorporate a room-temperature, ambient pressure superconductor by 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 94.7% as of October 19, 2026.

When does Will a commercially available device incorporate a room-temperature, ambient pressure superconductor by 2030? resolve?

Will a commercially available device incorporate a room-temperature, ambient pressure superconductor by 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2030.

How is Will a commercially available device incorporate a room-temperature, ambient pressure superconductor by 2030? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market will resolve YES if any elecrical appliance, computer, or other device is commercially available by Jan 1, 2030, which incorporates superconductors that operate at ambient pressure above 0C without requiring active cooling (may be LK-99 or some other chemistry).

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

KALSHI

Where will it rain on Oct 18, 2026?

• Albuquerque+93.0pt99.5%
• Miami+8.0pt99.5%
• West Palm Beach-77.0pt8.5%

+32 more outcomes

Total Vol

$818.2K

24h Vol

$707K

KALSHI

Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 18, 2026?

• 56° to 57°+51.0pt99.5%
• 58° to 59°-36.0pt0.5%
• 60° to 61°-4.0pt

KALSHI

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 18, 2026?

• 86° or above+43.0pt99.5%
• 84° to 85°-35.0pt0.5%
• 82° to 83°-7.0pt

KALSHI

Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 17 - Oct 18)?

• New York City99.5%
• Philadelphia99.5%
• Phoenix99.5%

KALSHI

Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 18, 2026?

• 82° to 83°+53.0pt99.5%
• 80° to 81°-10.0pt0.5%
• 84° to 85°-33.0pt

KALSHI

Where will it rain on Oct 19, 2026?

• Albuquerque50%
• Miami47.5%
• West Palm Beach46%

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