Alphabet becomes the most valuable company in the world by end of 2026
TechOne-OffBusiness & Corporate3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 83.4%
Forecasters
17
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingFeb 14, 26, 2:52 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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PolymarketRules
Resolves to YES if Alphabet becomes the most valuable company in the world by market cap for any period of time.
- For example, if Alphabet becomes #1 for one day and then immediately slips back to #2/3/4, this still resolves to YES.
- As of February 2026, NVIDIA is the largest company in the world with a market cap of $4.56 trillion, followed by Apple ($3.95 trillion), Alphabet ($3.83 trillion), and Microsoft ($3.53 trillion).
- Update 2026-02-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Market cap data will be sourced from companiesmarketcap.com (subject to change based on suggestions).
Open markets
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.7%
- 200-219+8.0pt23.1%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.2%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+7.0pt33.6%
- 90° or above+18.0pt32.7%
- 86° to 87°-13.0pt23.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Houston+69.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Los Angeles+71.0pt75%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $229.5K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 65-89+29.0pt50%
- 40-64+0.5pt46.1%
- 90-114-2.9pt3.9%
+7 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Alphabet becomes the most valuable company in the world by end of 2026?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 83% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Alphabet becomes the most valuable company in the world by end of 2026 resolve?
- Alphabet becomes the most valuable company in the world by end of 2026 is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Alphabet becomes the most valuable company in the world by end of 2026 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves to YES if Alphabet becomes the most valuable company in the world by market cap for any period of time.