Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast1st Spain, 2nd Argentina, 3rd France, 4th England 37%+24.5%Leader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
7
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Jul 15, 26, 7:03 PMJul 19, 26, 10:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
1st Spain, 2nd Argentina, 3rd France, 4th England37%
Volume trend
$1.3kJul 152d of dataJul 16
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Which exact 1st/2nd/3rd/4th ordering will the 2026 World Cup finish on?
- - Semi-final 1 (Jul 14): Spain 2–0 France.
- - Semi-final 2 (Jul 15): England vs Argentina.
- - Third-place playoff — Sat Jul 18, 5:00 PM ET, Hard Rock Stadium, Miami.
- Decides 3rd and 4th.
- - Final — Sun Jul 19, 3:00 PM ET, MetLife Stadium, New Jersey.