Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastKane 4.4%-1.2%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
8
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jul 9, 26, 10:18 PMJul 19, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Kane4%
Volume trend
$29Jul 102d of dataJul 11
Related Markets
Argentina vs Switzerland: Method of Victory
$48.9KSwitzerland to win in Extra Time: 4%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Argentina vs. Switzerland
$0Argentina: 58%FUTUUR
FUTUUR
Argentina vs Switzerland
$3.1MArgentina advances: 75%KALSHI
KALSHI
Argentina vs Switzerland: Regulation Time Correct Score
$1.5MReg Time: Argentina wins 3-1: 6%KALSHI
KALSHI
Argentina vs. Switzerland - More Markets
$1.5MO/U 0.5: 91%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETArgentina vs. Switzerland
$1.1MArgentina: 58%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Related News
Polymarket keeps Golden Ball odds flat at 50% as Mbappe–Messi buzz growsBlockchain.News
Polymarket Golden Ball market stays 50-50 as World Cup quarter-finals loomBlockchain.News
Ronaldo says World Cup goodbye as Polymarket Golden Ball odds sit at 50%Blockchain.News
England beats Mexico, Polymarket keeps Golden Ball leader at 50%Blockchain.News
Germany out on pens, Polymarket keeps 5+ missed kicks favored at 45.45%Blockchain.News
Azteca showdown vs Ecuador nudges Mexico to 43.5% on PolymarketBlockchain.NewsRules
Resolution criteria
- This binary market will resolve to YES if the player specified by the market creator (e.g., in the title or an edit to this description) finishes as the top goalscorer (or co-top goalscorer) of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
- Source of Truth: Official tournament statistics provided by FIFA.
- Tie-breakers: For the purpose of this binary market, if multiple players finish tied for the most goals scored, any player with the joint-highest number of goals will be considered a "top scorer" (resolving to YES), regardless of FIFA's official Golden Boot tiebreakers (assists and minutes played), unless the creator explicitly specifies otherwise.
- Edge Cases: If the creator has not specified a player, the market will resolve to YES for the player named in the market title.
- Goals scored during regular time and extra time count toward the total; goals scored during penalty shootouts do not.